THE INVESTIGATION

Deep Dives

Five investigation threads, each testing a specific fraud theory against primary evidence, plus cross-thread deep dives into the mechanisms. Every claim is sourced, every finding scored against the five-element legal standard for fraud.

THREAD 1·Voter Deception

Voters approved $9.95 billion in bonds based on a $33 billion cost estimate, 96 million riders per year, and completion by 2020. The ridership model assumed 73% highway diversion — 4.5 to 6.6 times every comparable system on Earth. The margin was 5.24%. Every number has since proven false.

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4.5/5 fraud elements
Were the numbers on the ballot knowingly false?
THREAD 2·Contractor Capture

WSP outnumbered state staff 25 to 1. They held the building lease, ran the IT systems, and staffed the unit that was supposed to oversee WSP. Of 184 tasks WSP marked as complete, 145 were not actually finished. Disputed invoices reached $288 million by 2025.

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3.5/5 fraud elements
What happens when the contractor is also the regulator?
THREAD 3·Federal Grant Fraud

In September 2024, CHSRA signed a $3.07 billion federal grant agreement despite a known $5-10 billion funding gap, debunked ridership projections, and an electrification budget at 22% of what the same state paid for comparable work. Four months later, their own Inspector General confirmed the gap. All five elements of fraud are met.

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5/5 fraud elements
Did CHSRA sign a $3 billion federal agreement knowing it couldn't deliver?
THREAD 4·Cost Escalation

Construction contracts ballooned from $2.8 billion to $8.6 billion through 1,500+ change orders. The Board delegated unlimited change order authority to the CEO with no dollar cap. CP2-3 grew from $1.37B to $3.69B through staff-level approvals — the Board learned about the $2 billion overrun only after the money was spent.

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4/5 fraud elements
Why does flat farmland cost 7-10x more than Spain?
THREAD 5·Transparency Failures

Fifteen years and $10 billion spent before anyone independent was empowered to look at the books. When an IG was finally created, it immediately found a $6.5-7 billion funding gap. Meanwhile, the Legislature was progressively shielding records from public disclosure.

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2/5 fraud elements
Why did it take 15 years to create an Inspector General?